Tomato prices in the United States have risen notably in recent months, driven by a combination of supply constraints, trade policy changes, and rising costs throughout the supply chain. Recent wholesale market data indicate stronger than usual price increases.
Note: Weekly tomato prices at the New York and Philadelphia Terminal Market by origin and year. Prices in 2026 are highlighted in red, while earlier years (2022–2025) are shown for comparison. Line types distinguish between origins.
Source: USDA Market News; figure created by the author.
Why Are Tomato Prices Increasing?
One of the primary drivers of higher prices is tight supply conditions. Weather disruptions in major producing regions such as Mexico and Florida have reduced available volumes, creating shortages across the supply chain.
Trade policy has also played a significant role. The imposition of tariffs on Mexican tomatoes, which account for roughly 70% of U.S. fresh tomato consumption, has increased import costs and contributed directly to higher market prices.
In addition, broader economic factors are amplifying price pressures. Rising fuel and transportation costs have increased the cost of moving perishable goods like tomatoes, while higher input costs (e.g., energy and fertilizer) are pushing up production expenses.
Also published in Rutgers Cooperative Extension Plant and Pest Advisory [Link to the original post]